Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.047030 0.054726 0.063282 0.073501 0.085375 0.098743 0.114942
2025-11-23 0.034980 0.045015 0.057331 0.073560 0.094403 0.120296 0.154958
2025-11-30 0.028492 0.039589 0.054272 0.075131 0.104042 0.142763 0.198695
2025-12-07 0.023430 0.034668 0.050481 0.074375 0.109629 0.159851 0.237072
2025-12-14 0.019421 0.030335 0.046530 0.072335 0.112522 0.172897 0.270878
2025-12-21 0.016350 0.026799 0.043055 0.070214 0.114590 0.184498 0.303541
2025-12-28 0.014644 0.025081 0.042033 0.071604 0.122087 0.205128 0.352887
2026-01-04 0.013051 0.023278 0.040562 0.071940 0.127720 0.223214 0.400174
2026-01-11 0.011692 0.021658 0.039138 0.072075 0.132886 0.240949 0.448948
2026-01-18 0.010672 0.020486 0.038313 0.073103 0.139666 0.262184 0.506603
2026-01-25 0.009913 0.019684 0.038030 0.075045 0.148303 0.287717 0.575462
2026-02-01 0.008762 0.017965 0.035796 0.072930 0.148821 0.297893 0.615672
2026-02-08 0.007953 0.016837 0.034600 0.072778 0.153343 0.316687 0.676308
2026-02-15 0.007187 0.015697 0.033236 0.072106 0.156727 0.333646 0.735559
2026-02-22 0.006705 0.015088 0.032882 0.073501 0.164625 0.360870 0.820383
2026-03-01 0.006092 0.014111 0.031618 0.072733 0.167679 0.378066 0.885262
2026-03-08 0.005457 0.012995 0.029908 0.070734 0.167677 0.388486 0.935991
2026-03-15 0.004891 0.011966 0.028262 0.068659 0.167209 0.397740 0.985145
2026-03-22 0.004615 0.011591 0.028076 0.070017 0.175066 0.427271 1.087226
2026-03-29 0.004300 0.011078 0.027500 0.070346 0.180440 0.451511 1.179400
2026-04-05 0.004003 0.010572 0.026879 0.070478 0.185333 0.475158 1.273232
2026-04-12 0.003780 0.010226 0.026612 0.071483 0.192598 0.505640 1.389096
2026-04-19 0.003618 0.010022 0.026682 0.073383 0.202468 0.544032 1.531440